Author Topic: E.U. admiral believes the wayward Artic Sea was carrying missiles; hijacked by -  (Read 2188 times)

darkjedi

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- Israel.

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Desperate to reduce Russian influence in the Middle East, I see.

Offline AceHigh

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Bah, Russia and Israel have been bickering about this for some time. Last time Israel came with the ultimatum "Stop selling weapons to Syria, or we will arm Georgia".

This is an interesting "war by proxy" so to speak.

Also Russians are becoming sloppy, they could easily transfer cargo through the Kaspian sea to Iran, from where it would be smuggled more efficiently to other arab countries.
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darkjedi

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I think Caspian sea is more closely watched because it's a more direct naval route to the Middle East. If Russia had a need to be covert they'll be sending their ships along paths that are less obvious.

Btw Israel has already suspended the forming new arms sale contracts with Georgia; they might withdraw the existing contracts too.

And I don't really think Iran was Russia's final destination; they have a lot more clients, like Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt; those who have reasons to have secret dealings with Russia away from the prying eyes of Israel.

Russia might be using Iran to protect the name of the clients; for example, if Israel discovered that Russia and Jordan were trading in weapons that can pose threat to Israel, then Jordan's reputation within Israel will be worsened. But if Israel thinks that Iran was the recipient of such weapons because the ships ended up in Iran, (even though the weapons eventually ended up in Jordan through other routes) Israel will not suspect Jordan.
« Last Edit: September 02, 2009, 01:40:47 PM by darkjedi »

Offline AceHigh

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I think Caspian sea is more closely watched because it's a more direct naval route to the Middle East. If Russia had a need to be covert they'll be sending their ships along paths that are less obvious.

If I am not mistaken, it has no international waters. So unless Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan are doing the watching, then nothing can stop Russia from transporting whatever they want... of course there are no Israel or US fleets there to stop them anyway, not to mention that the dominant navy in that lake is Russian to begin with.
For one thing, Tiff is not on any level what I would call a typical American.  She's not what I would consider a typical person.  I don't know any other genius geneticist anime-fan martial artist marksman model-level beauties, do you?

darkjedi

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Yeah. That means Russia had other reasons for skirting the Atlantic Ocean rather than going through the Caspian Sea; I'm pretty sure they didn't simply forget the existence of the most obvious naval trade route between Russia and the Middle East. Maybe they didn't intend to sell covert arms to Middle East countries after all. Maybe they were bound to somewhere else, like Africa. That will eliminate the justification for Israel to confiscate the Russian arms; what Russia sells to Africa is none of Israel's business. Or maybe Russia simply wasn't selling any weapons in the first place.

There are just so many things that we don't know of yet. xD We'll just have to watch the development over the next few days.

Offline AceHigh

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That will eliminate the justification for Israel to confiscate the Russian arms

If they are selling arms to countries that UN resolution has signed a ban on, then Israel can justify it's capture by stating that it interrupted an illegal trade. And when it comes to Africa, lot's of countries there are on the list.
For one thing, Tiff is not on any level what I would call a typical American.  She's not what I would consider a typical person.  I don't know any other genius geneticist anime-fan martial artist marksman model-level beauties, do you?

darkjedi

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If they are selling arms to countries that UN resolution has signed a ban on, then Israel can justify it's capture by stating that it interrupted an illegal trade. And when it comes to Africa, lot's of countries there are on the list.

Indeed. So we could assume that Russia was selling cargo that were not deemed illegal; for example, if Israel intercepted advanced RPGs and SAMs being transferred to Syria, they might push themselves and insist on keeping the weapons even though it's not illegal. But if it was heading for South Africa instead, they will just let it go. It's what UAE recently did with a North Korean cargo passing through its territory containing 'heavy machinery' such as RPG and machine guns; we don't exactly know if they are banned, because they could be considered as... 'personnel weapons', but since the ship was bound for Iran, they decided to detain it first and ask questions later.

And of course there's also the more likely possibility that the E.U. admiral was indeed correct in saying that Russia was really transferring banned weapons. But what irks me is how exactly Israel intercepted a Russian vessel in the Atlantic Ocean, when Israel's in the Middle East. @_@ Looks as if they planned it, don't you think? How could they have known that they'll be carrying banned cargo, and where it was bound to, and where they'll be located in a particular time? And if they indeed knew these things, why didn't they just divulge the information to the UN watchdogs instead?

Offline AceHigh

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And if they indeed knew these things, why didn't they just divulge the information to the UN watchdogs instead?

Dude, it's Israel. They have their own way of dealing with things  ;D
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Offline lx4

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I guess the truth will come out sooner or later. All of Israels "secret" missions seem to leak out.

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Offline Proin Drakenzol

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And if they indeed knew these things, why didn't they just divulge the information to the UN watchdogs instead?


For the same reason that Israel neither confirms nor denies their possession of nuclear weapons.

Also: the UN is anti-Israel.

The linear nature of your Euclidean geometry both confounds and befuddles me.

Offline sdedalus83

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Even if the UN were neutral, why would a rabid pitbull seek assistance from toy poodles?

darkjedi

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From The Sunday Times
September 6, 2009
(click to show/hide)

Apparently these missiles were S-300 missiles.

Now we must ask ourselves again why Israel is so desperate to keep its Arab neighbors from getting defensive weapons.



Some dude has a conspiracy theory. According to him, the ship was actually bound for Israel, probably set up by Israeli agents, maybe agents of Mossad itself. (I thought it was a person lol) That's why the Russian-supplied S-300 shipment was considered illegal; it wasn't supposed to go to Israel. The Russians learned about it and sent destroyers and submarines to detain the ship. Peres freaked out and went to Russia and lobbied Dmitry to shush it up.
« Last Edit: September 06, 2009, 05:35:22 AM by darkjedi »

Offline lx4

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I was visiting my grandparents on the Gotland island when the Arctic Sea was hijacked in Swedish water just outside the island. It was first page in the local newspaper  :)

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Offline mgz

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Bah, Russia and Israel have been bickering about this for some time. Last time Israel came with the ultimatum "Stop selling weapons to Syria, or we will arm Georgia".

This is an interesting "war by proxy" so to speak.

Also Russians are becoming sloppy, they could easily transfer cargo through the Kaspian sea to Iran, from where it would be smuggled more efficiently to other arab countries.
its just like the cuban missile crisis but without cuba or the us being directly involved

darkjedi

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Except that while Cuban missile crisis was an offensive proxy warfare this sale of S-300 missiles is a defensive proxy warfare. It's just trying to make it harder for the U.S. to invade Iran.

Offline mgz

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Except that while Cuban missile crisis was an offensive proxy warfare this sale of S-300 missiles is a defensive proxy warfare. It's just trying to make it harder for the U.S. to invade Iran.
regardless what the weapons are being used for its weapon sales that are the issue with one party, and the suprise the US had wasnt o yea we will arm this country it was SURPISE theres already missiles there

darkjedi

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I believe the effect of Cuban missile crisis was more of a psychological deterrence than a practical one. It showed how vulnerable the U.S. mainland is to Soviet influences. On the other hand the S-300 is more practical rather than psychological because it still doesn't scare the U.S. people enough while it's still enough to beat the hell out of the U.S. when used correctly in a realistic and practical situation. Just look at relic2279's proud replies to my Al Jazeera thread lol (no offense intended, ok?)

Offline mgz

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I believe the effect of Cuban missile crisis was more of a psychological deterrence than a practical one. It showed how vulnerable the U.S. mainland is to Soviet influences. On the other hand the S-300 is more practical rather than psychological because it still doesn't scare the U.S. people enough while it's still enough to beat the hell out of the U.S. when used correctly in a realistic and practical situation. Just look at relic2279's proud replies to my Al Jazeera thread lol (no offense intended, ok?)
no the missiles in cuba would have without a doubt been a huge threat even if there was no actual intent to use them. Simply due to the fact that by the time it was targeted and launched there wouldnt be much time for reaction state side. Which is why they took such a knee jerk reaction

darkjedi

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no the missiles in cuba would have without a doubt been a huge threat even if there was no actual intent to use them.

No, they won't be. The missiles in Cuba only signified the length of the arm of the Soviet government. It made the U.S. civilians feel more vulnerable and feel the influence of the Soviet come closer to home. It didn't have a practical military application. If it really came to a nuclear war between the U.S. and the Soviet Union, whether or not there were Soviet missiles in Cuba, the end result of the war would have been the same. They'll both be destroyed, Cuban missile or no. So Cuba had limited military uses.

Simply due to the fact that by the time it was targeted and launched there wouldnt be much time for reaction state side. Which is why they took such a knee jerk reaction

Do you think if the Soviet fired their missiles from 4000 km from Ukraine instead of 500 km from Cuba it would have made a difference? U.S. will still be destroyed. However some second-strike capabilities of the U.S. will inevitably survive the initial Soviet first-strike too. The Soviets will also be destroyed. The end result is the same.

Offline AceHigh

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Do you think if the Soviet fired their missiles from 4000 km from Ukraine instead of 500 km from Cuba it would have made a difference? U.S. will still be destroyed. However some second-strike capabilities of the U.S. will inevitably survive the initial Soviet first-strike too. The Soviets will also be destroyed. The end result is the same.

God, I love the good ol' MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction)
And thank god Russians have created their brand new nuke carriers which can't be interrupted by any missile shield, that alone gave the world back the MAD. As long as we have MAD, there will be peace between the nuclear powers... everyone benefits from that.
For one thing, Tiff is not on any level what I would call a typical American.  She's not what I would consider a typical person.  I don't know any other genius geneticist anime-fan martial artist marksman model-level beauties, do you?