Discussion Forums > Forum/Thread Games
Werewolves, Serial Killers and Demons (Murdergame: Modified rules) Round Four
Borror0:
EDIT: Nevermind too. Please delete this post.
tomoya-kun:
What's going on?
Chiyachan:
Complicated mathematics. I got no idea anymore.
How about voting for the dead guy and Borror for making everyones head hurt? ;D
Soulreaper77:
--- Quote from: Borror0 on September 30, 2010, 09:19:31 PM ---
--- Quote from: Soulreaper77 on September 30, 2010, 09:14:34 PM ---So the chance increases for persons lower down the list to be a special role, till person 9 that is.
--- End quote ---
It's always a chance in seventeen. Let's say werewolf is the third role attributed: 16/17*15/16*1/15 = (16*15*1)/(17*16*15) = 1/17
--- End quote ---
Compare it with choosing the people with rolling a 17-sided die, what is the chance that I roll on for example Chiyachan, 1/17 you would say and that's good. But now I only have Chiyachan as a person, now I need to roll another die, a 9-sided one to assign him his *special* role, the chance to get 1 out of the 9 *special* roles is 1/9.
Then 1/17 (person roll) * 1/9 (role roll) = chance a random person gets a random *special* role. The randomness sits in the 17-sided die. As it will randomly select a person to receive a special role.
Then my second throw would be a roll with a 16-sided die and a 8-sided die, whose total chance is higher than my first roll.
So to sum it up:
1st person to be given a special role: 1/17*1/9
2nd person to be given a special role: 1/16*1/8
....
Last person to be given a special role: 1/8*1/1
Meh .... I wanna see Day 3 now. I'm actually waiting for it to get posted so I can go to bed xD
tomoya-kun:
On the topic of werewolf, when can they attack?
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