Discussion Forums > Forum/Thread Games

Tiffany's Murdergame - Round Five: Vampires, Rapists, Revivals, oh my.

<< < (73/106) > >>

SeventyX7:

--- Quote from: Meomix on February 15, 2011, 04:58:37 PM ---Wow let alone the blue, how long did it take me to realize that Tiffany only said one.

Changing vote to SeventyX7

On tvtropes i've heard many horror stories about tabletop games, looks like the legends were true.

--- End quote ---
Notice again how Meomix changes his vote to who's getting bandwagon'd.  He's just trying to make sure someone, anyone other than him, gets taken down by vote.  He doesn't have any conviction in who he votes for, he's just insuring there's no chance he gets taken down.

If I was REALLY the killer, don't you think I wouldn't leap on the "vote for vuze" bus?  That I'd vote for someone with NO votes on them, who's only been voted for once before, on a complete shot in the dark guess?

Seriously, it's not vuze.  It's not me.  FFS, I'm the one who gave up "______" to the inquisitor.  >:(

Keeping my vote on meomix.

Arc-sama:
With the new info (the post right after my last one) ...

I'm changing my vote to vuzedome ...

*HINT* Also it would be a good time for the vigilante to make their move.


ps ~ I'm gonna go back to sleep ... gotta recuperate from trying to hack up a lung ... damn cold.

TightMuffin:

--- Quote from: Tiffanys on February 15, 2011, 12:54:27 PM ---
--- Quote from: Arc Da Rat on February 15, 2011, 11:12:23 AM ---Forgot to add Havoc10K being killed ....
--- End quote ---

Oh, sorry looks like you're right... Well, here then I'll expand on some things:



Day 2 news said there was Demon activity, so Arc is innocent.

Scotsman could be the Demon and SeventyX7 could be either killer. Since we know the Demon wasn't boxed or killed, this means that on Day 3 due to the "spiritual pressure dropping pretty hard" either the Demon got Feedback (which could have also occurred on Day 2), or was the tortured scotsman. "We're still having trouble reattaching one of his toes . . . We expect the toe to be back to normal within a few days. The other removed limbs, digits, finger nails and skin seem to have recovered nicely. As good as new!" Either scenario is obviously possible.

It's impossible to know about Borror0 since there is no data.

All this shows is that the ones mentioned above could be the killers, but it does not rule out the fact that they also could be innocent. It also neglects the fact that anyone that wasn't questioned could be the killers as well.

There are a ton of clues in the news, some specific ones I mentioned where to look a couple posts ago. I'll also say that there are no inactive players as Killers. So:

Could not be Killers:
Arc Da Rat
harpy
Havanacus
pmDarkly
tomoya-kun

Could be Killers:
shabutie - Claims to be Tertiary Adjunct
Teaparty - Claims to be Grand Inquisitor
SeventyX7
scotsman
saidin1015
flyawave
suhaib
vuzedome
Meomix
1000mAh
TightMuffin
Klocknov
Borror0

So, if you also eliminate the two that claimed to be roles (though they certainly haven't been proven), that means there are 11 possible candidates. That means based on sheer luck alone, you have a 9% chance of guessing who the killer is.

However... if you look at the clues I gave you, the possible choices drop down substantially. The single biggest clue that will cut out the largest pool of players is this: "You're all a bunch of mindless sheep being manipulated by the very criminals you're trying to apprehend, if you're even trying in the first place." Which, was seen in Day 4 Night Scene 3.

So, if this is true and at least one of the killers is a player that has been very vocal and actively influenced player voting, how many choices do you have? If you follow this advice and determine which players have done this, and there are very few of them, you will have an extremely high chance of boxing at least one killer tonight. I would say out of the above, there are likely 3 that have done this. You can figure out who they are. And that being the case, that means if voting based on this, there is a 1 in 3 chance of taking out a killer.

Of course, when it's down to that, examine the other clues. I bet you can actually get it narrowed down to 2 or even 1. And that would be what I'd call extremely good odds.

--- End quote ---

That table is off though, isn't it?  Seventy was detained the day BEFORE the Succubus was boxed, Borror0 was detained the day succubus was boxed.  Also, serial killer did kill the day Seventy was detained, that was why I didn't suspect him.

Meomix:
TightMuffin you're forgetting about day 0. Detainees are the result of the previous night, making them the masters of the current day.

Borror0:

--- Quote from: TightMuffin on February 15, 2011, 06:30:24 PM ---That table is off though, isn't it?  Seventy was detained the day BEFORE the Succubus was boxed, Borror0 was detained the day succubus was boxed.  Also, serial killer did kill the day Seventy was detained, that was why I didn't suspect him.

--- End quote ---

The Grand Inquisitor's action are announced in the news the day before they happen.

As such, on Night 0, no one was detained. On Night 1, Arc Da Rat was detained while there was actions from all the killers. On Night 2, scotsman was detained. There was serial killer and succubus and serial activity, but no demon activity. On Night 3, SeventyX7 was detained and the succubus was boxed. There was no demon activity nor serial killer activity. I was going to be detained tonight.

In other words:
[*]Arc Da Rat: Innocent.
[*]scotsman: Not the serial killer. Maybe the demon.
[*]SeventyX7: Likely the serial killer. Maybe the demon.
[*]Borror0: No data.[/list]

Navigation

[0] Message Index

[#] Next page

[*] Previous page