Krudda sent out the roles at 4AM (CST)
At 4PM he is still waiting for a reply from someone. And this is everyone's last active as it was at 4PM:
csoo54
Today at 11:25:34 AM
Bob2004
Today at 09:08:21 AM
froody1911
Today at 11:44:37 AM
PlaguedHell
April 14, 2014, 12:15:58 AM
1000mAh
Today at 02:31:38 PM
MrIntruder
Today at 03:47:02 PM
Chiyachan
Today at 03:26:07 PM
TiYlER
April 14, 2014, 04:15:39 AM
buchno
Today at 01:56:26 PM
Dex_Belle
Today at 02:26:17 PM
asermax
Today at 12:04:32 PM
juggalojohn
Today at 10:27:50 AM
Mhei
Today at 04:04:36 PM
Sebur
Today at 01:54:06 PM
gits
Today at 03:39:51 PM
shabutie
Today at 06:55:47 AM
Meomix
Today at 04:14:30 AM
Note: Krudda had been on for hours as well.
Today at 03:34:18 PM
As such, I conclude that at least one of either PlaguedHell or TiYlER has one of the 3 special roles that require a PM reply. That means there's a 66% chance that at least one of them is a Serial Killer. And to be honest, they could
both be Serial Killers. Those are about as good of odds as we're gonna get in this game so
I vote for TiYlER. Out of the two I don't know anything about PlaguedHell but I do know that TiYlER would be a pretty big threat if he turns out to be a Serial Killer. Better safe than sorry.
The only other that hasn't been on since last night is Meomix but I want to be clear that
I do not suspect her at this time in regards to last active timestamp evidence. She very likely could have replied before logging off, if they even have a special role.
It also stands to reason that it's very possible that all other special roles replied and Krudda is just waiting on the one, so further timestamp evidence as per pre-day 1 is probably null and void once we find one of our killers.
I want to mention one further delimiter which I marked in gold: MrIntruder, Mhei & gits. These are people that have been online since Krudda's last active point which on some unlikely fringe chance they arrived after Krudda was last here, they could have replied after the fact. I ruled out Chiyachan and myself from this latter fringe bracket as both of us were on when roles were sent out. I want to stress however that there is very little suspicion towards these 3 people and I do not suspect them at this time. I have only even brought up these auxiliary lists in the (very unlikely) off chance that PlaguedHell turns out to not have been one of the special roles.
At 6:05PM Krudda signed back on but the game still did not start so I will assume the further delimiter group can be discarded per this particular evidence.
Looks like we've got some targets. I'd say:
#1 TiYlER - if he
is a killer, which is seriously likely due to timestamp information, he will be our worst threat.
#2 PlaguedHell - He's new, I don't really know anything about him but there's a good chance he's the killer as well, if they both aren't.
#3 Meomix - If by some snowball's chance in hell it turns out that neither TiYlER nor PlaguedHell are Serial Killers she's the only option left that we have definitive proof for. I really don't think it's her but it's worth mentioning.
At xx yy logged in and then zz minutes later the game began. XX & YY have yet to reappear. Therefore I conclude that yy is a Serial Killer with a 66% chance of being the right guess.