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Tiffany's Murder Game - Round Seven: Game over, man, game over!
froody1911:
Okay so the simplest interpretation is that SeventyX7 (shapeshifter) kills Dex (nun), then someone (vigilante, maybe possessed) kills SeventyX7.
One problem here is that the nun was slashed but the report does not mention that a knife or whatever was found on the scene. So maybe the nun was killed by someone else, but that would make Seventy's presence on the same scene kind of meaningless.
Anyway the shapeshifter seems to be out of the game which is pretty good. Gonna hold off on the vote for now.
--- Quote from: Tiffanys on April 07, 2014, 03:24:11 PM ---You guys literally blow my mind. I'm not even kidding.
--- End quote ---
Oh sure honey.
bunalz:
This is terrible...
--- Quote from: csoo54 on April 07, 2014, 01:39:57 PM ---[...]and an assassin is already triggered? or is the assassin killing without knowing it?
--- End quote ---
Okay, I don't understand this part, either. I thought that unless the assassin got attacked, he/she will not retaliate. It would not make sense that the Nun, a sleeper role, was able to target anyone since the Paladin is not reported dead. The only conclusion that I could make is:
--- Quote ---3. A hit list is randomized at the beginning of the game which determines which assassination contracts are to be given to an assassin.
--- End quote ---
--- Quote from: Tiffanys on April 06, 2014, 03:49:05 PM ---[...]I just randomized the hitlist for the Assassins...
--- End quote ---
In other words, (1+?) Assassin(s?) was(were) given contract(s) before the game started... This is bad. If the Assassin is really on a neutral path, he/she better be not accepting the friggin' contract blindly.
--- Quote from: lololitas on April 07, 2014, 01:46:06 PM ---[...]if a shapshifter kills, the death will not be announced immediately, but one day later instead, so the nun definitely was not killed by a shapeshifter.
--- End quote ---
That sounds about right. Then:
-Assassin#1 was given contract (see above for my reasoning) before the game started, and randomly attacked Meomix.
-Shapeshifter assumed SeventyX7's identity (Assassin#2) before the game started (60% chance - succeeded), and had him randomly attacked Dex_Belle.
-Demon possessed Vigilante, tried to target someone randomly, and got SeventyX7.
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Analysis:
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1. Two Assassins. One skillfully killed the victim = Assassin#1 & Meomix. Another just brutally stabbed the victim like a Serial Killer (and Tiffany said that the Shapeshifter is replacing the Serial Killer) = Assassin#2: SeventyX7 & Dex_Belle.
2. The reason why the victim of the Shapeshifter was announced is because that victim was killed; killed by the Vigilante.
3. The Demon couldn't possibly possessed SeventyX7 because the "Killer Strikes" most likely points to the Shapeshifter. And:
--- Quote from: Tiffanys on April 07, 2014, 02:50:51 PM ---I really can't fathom how it makes more sense that a vigilante would shoot someone seemingly at random before the game even began than an assassin was activated and the demon took possession over the vigilante instead.
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4. Paladin watched over someone (Populace/Killers) who wasn't possessed, nor an undead.
The flaw in my theory is: What happened to the Mad Scientist? I thought every player who were given a specific role (exception: sleeper) cannot opt to skip their turn. Since the Scientist does not know who dies, he/she cannot resurrect anyone yet. Then, what?
--- Quote from: froody1911 on April 07, 2014, 03:44:33 PM ---Anyway the shapeshifter seems to be out of the game which is pretty good. Gonna hold off on the vote for now.
--- End quote ---
We cannot be so sure; we'll have to see the next news. Though, I agree with you that we should abstain from voting:
--- Quote from: bunalz on April 06, 2014, 02:44:53 PM ---Is it allowable if all players abstain from voting on Day 1? (Given that, with the exception of Round 3, the first to be lynched is always an innocent)
--- End quote ---
Unless it's against the rule?
Took me a long while to post. -_-
SeventyX7:
Lol you guys are bad at analysis.
I'll point out what should be the obvious - the shapeshifter is the blue x-men one. He doesn't turn people into blue people. If there is a dead blue person it is the shapeshifter. ::)
Yuu Jirou:
The flaw in my theory is: What happened to the Mad Scientist? I thought every player who were given a specific role (exception: sleeper) cannot opt to skip their turn. Since the Scientist do not know who dies, he/she cannot resurrect anyone yet. Then, what?
He/she will act tomorrow, couse even in his definition, there's nothing for living people. So game starts for mad scientist on day 2, we will see tomorrow if scientist is good & evil.
froody1911:
--- Quote from: SeventyX7 on April 07, 2014, 04:07:56 PM ---If there is a dead blue person it is the shapeshifter. ::)
--- End quote ---
Umm that's what we're saying.
...right guys?
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