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Tiffany's Murder Game - Round Seven: Game over, man, game over!
Yuu Jirou:
The list as it stands:
Mistgun_Zero
buchno
froody1911 - dead
Krudda
gits
lololitas - dead
Bob2004
Yuu Jirou
asermax
Chiyachan
Meomix - dead
csoo54
SchoolDaysEX
MrIntruder
SeventyX7 - dead
Sebur - dead
Dex_Belle - resurrected
TiYlER
Mhei
harpy - dead
bunalz
Ashall
Motoko11
1000mAh - dead
So there are 16 person alive including me.
I think there are 4 assassins.
First one activated in the first day, and 3 afterwards.
The reason i'm saying that first one did not get a contract next day is "Once activated they will periodically be offered contracts."
We can't possibly know that period is 1 day, in my opinion it's at least 2 days, or maybe 3. We may come to a conclusion tomorrow.
If it's 1 day , and there are 3 assassins in total, it means the contract of demon , will be %20.
15 person expect assassin , 3 assassins total.
Edit no no, it will be 13 normal and 3 assassins since they can't target each other. So 3/13 hmm something like %23 i guess
But if the assassins does not accept contracts, it will be a lot more harder to win.
SeventyX7:
My bet is an assassin will kill the Demon and the game will end with the innocents having lucked out with all the killers having killed each other.
An innocent victory indeed. ;D
Yuu Jirou:
--- Quote from: SeventyX7 on April 08, 2014, 04:54:32 PM ---My bet is an assassin will kill the Demon and the game will end with the innocents having lucked out with all the killers having killed each other.
An innocent victory indeed. ;D
--- End quote ---
That's the %20 if i'm correct, but still 3 innocent will die otherwise...
Or maybe just 1 assassination if they get contracts in 2 days
froody1911:
--- Quote from: bunalz on April 08, 2014, 04:37:15 PM ---
--- Quote from: froody1911 on April 08, 2014, 04:34:13 PM ---I'm pretty sure I know 2 assassins. But I'm dead so I can't say who :(
--- End quote ---
And what if the Mad Scientist revives you? Would you spill the beans then?
--- End quote ---
Obviously. Slim chance of that though, I'm just a normal character.
bunalz:
--- Quote from: SeventyX7 on April 08, 2014, 04:46:36 PM ---If I get revived, I will spill ALLLLL the beans in your pretty little heads....
--- End quote ---
Is that supposed to be a treat, or a threat?
--- Quote from: Yuu Jirou on April 08, 2014, 04:51:58 PM ---So there are 16 person alive including me.
--- End quote ---
You forgot Dex_Belle, so 17 players left.
As for the calculation: 3/17 3/13 ≈ 18 21 23%. Not that it would make any difference. :)
EDIT: Oops! My logic must really have lost some brain cells after all... :P
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