i think it will do better then its doing, but I don't think it will be #1 at all.
I wrote a paper on this 2 years ago, and so far everything is lining up exactly as I predicted. I have wii as #1 in all regions, with PS3 #2 is japan and #3 in EU and US, with it being very close to the 360 in both territories. Its too high of a price for the average consumer. The only people they're currently winning over are the high tech crowd. Plus Sony's PR is terrible right now. This all lines up with the similar battles of the PSP vs DS, and the N64 vs PSX.
agree?